01
the models read
a council of frontier models.
02
scan three, pick one
every cycle they read BTC, ETH and SOL. the market pulling hardest against the crowd becomes the call.
03
settled by reality
each call rides a live 4-hour Polymarket up/down market. logged from zero, win or loss.
the first engine lost $776.99 in the open: 68 bets, 35-33, every fill on chain. the autopsy: a 3.3-point execution toll ate a 1.9-point signal, the size raise sank the profitable cohort, and it only ever paid on real disagreement with the crowd.
hypothesis two, pre-registered before any dollar: fire only on 8+ points of divergence, fill at decision price or not at all, flat $40, a rebuilt council on the current frontier. paper first.
forward score: the lab ledger is warming up.